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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.18vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.66+1.68vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.88+0.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71-2.27vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.10+1.92vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.81+2.69vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.46+0.01vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.26-4.47vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.56+0.11vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.47-1.09vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.23-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.95-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.2%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.68George Washington University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.21George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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2.73Fordham University2.710.3%1st Place
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7.92Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.69Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.01Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.53Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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11.11St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.91Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.75Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 23.4% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 29.8% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Bennett Brainard | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.6% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Catherine White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 36.6% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 28.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.