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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.26+5.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.73+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.82+5.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.80+4.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.61+0.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.95+1.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+1.11vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.94-0.21vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.85-4.74vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.36-0.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-5.80vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+0.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.85-5.78vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.61-2.21vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.97-0.47vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.91-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Brown University2.1413.8%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida1.266.6%1st Place
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5.72Boston College1.7311.7%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island0.824.3%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University0.804.5%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University1.619.8%1st Place
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8.64Boston University0.954.2%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.883.8%1st Place
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8.79Jacksonville University0.944.1%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University1.8513.2%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont0.363.4%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.0%1st Place
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13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.5%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.9%1st Place
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9.22University of Michigan0.854.0%1st Place
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13.79University of New Hampshire-0.610.9%1st Place
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16.53Middlebury College-1.970.3%1st Place
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16.34Bates College-1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marco Welch | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| William Kulas | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 14.7% | 4.7% |
| Ella Demand | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Visco | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 5.5% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 26.8% | 47.4% |
| Georgia Green | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 30.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.