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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+7.41vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.30+10.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+6.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.88vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+3.43vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.92-1.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+5.53vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.90+0.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-0.20vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-0.42vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.58-1.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.06-0.52vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut2.59+0.26vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.93-6.48vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University4.71-10.95vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-5.77vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-7.90vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.53Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.43Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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13.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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9.8Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.62Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.6% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.9% |
| John Giuliano | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 29.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.