← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.15vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.66+2.68vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.23vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.71-1.25vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.88-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Ocean County College0.23+0.65vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-0.80+1.71vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University0.10-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.26-4.46vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.81-1.17vs Predicted
-
12Monmouth University-0.46-2.96vs Predicted
-
13Penn State University-1.47-1.90vs Predicted
-
14St. John's College-1.56-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.2%1st Place
-
4.68George Washington University1.660.1%1st Place
-
4.23U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
-
2.75Fordham University2.710.3%1st Place
-
4.17George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
-
7.65Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.71University of Delaware-0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.88Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.54Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
-
9.83Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
9.04Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
11.1Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
11.26St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 23.0% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 29.4% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 14.2% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Wyatt | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 9.4% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Paul Hart | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 12.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 4.4% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 34.3% |
| Catherine White | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.