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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.71+1.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.40vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+4.50vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.26+0.58vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.59-1.14vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-4.53vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.10-0.98vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.23-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.80-1.14vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.56-0.83vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.81-3.00vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.47-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Fordham University2.710.3%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.2%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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8.5Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.58Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.47George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.02Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.78Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Delaware-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.17St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.0Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.22Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cappetta | 25.8% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 21.5% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Paul Hart | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 18.6% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Wyatt | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 12.0% |
| Catherine White | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 33.5% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 12.8% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 22.8% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.