Race 8B

central-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marissa Golison 21.6% 19.4% 18.9% 15.3% 12.1% 7.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 26.8% 22.7% 19.0% 13.0% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bennett 17.1% 19.0% 16.8% 15.7% 12.6% 10.4% 5.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Brimberg 7.6% 10.0% 9.3% 13.6% 14.3% 18.1% 12.2% 9.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Brogan Savage 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 6.7% 11.0% 14.0% 15.6% 16.3% 13.2% 7.0% 2.4%
Mary Robertson 11.8% 12.0% 13.7% 15.9% 15.0% 12.9% 10.4% 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nina Van De Vaarst 2.9% 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 7.8% 6.2% 12.4% 16.9% 16.8% 14.0% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1%
Tyler Wyatt 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 3.1% 2.6% 5.4% 10.6% 10.5% 14.1% 20.8% 18.8% 9.9%
Bennett Brainard 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 5.5% 6.5% 11.9% 15.6% 19.8% 18.7% 12.1%
Dylan Boland 1.7% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 7.1% 12.5% 15.1% 18.9% 12.7% 10.4% 5.1% 1.9%
Paul Hart 6.4% 7.1% 8.5% 11.2% 12.5% 18.3% 14.4% 11.3% 6.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Alexandra Polli 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 4.1% 6.1% 11.2% 14.6% 22.6% 34.5%
Catherine White 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 1.1% 0.9% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 10.7% 12.0% 24.2% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.