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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+0.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+0.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.59-0.11vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.09+2.47vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-1.46vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.23-0.28vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.56+1.22vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.81-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.80-2.19vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.10-4.79vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.47-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.2%1st Place
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2.88Fordham University2.710.3%1st Place
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3.51George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.89George Washington University1.590.1%1st Place
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8.47Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.54Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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7.72Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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11.22St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
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9.91Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Delaware-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.21Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.22Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 22.7% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 25.5% | 24.8% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 16.9% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Paul Hart | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Catherine White | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 37.6% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 12.9% |
| Tyler Wyatt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.