Race 10B

central-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marissa Golison 21.5% 18.9% 19.1% 15.6% 12.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 26.3% 24.1% 17.4% 14.3% 8.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bennett 17.1% 19.5% 17.1% 16.4% 13.3% 8.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Brimberg 8.0% 8.8% 10.1% 14.6% 16.6% 14.9% 12.5% 8.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Mary Robertson 12.2% 11.8% 15.2% 13.5% 14.4% 14.7% 10.6% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Paul Hart 6.7% 6.5% 8.9% 10.8% 13.7% 14.6% 16.0% 10.8% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Brogan Savage 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 5.4% 6.3% 9.5% 16.8% 13.7% 16.6% 12.5% 7.2% 2.4%
Dylan Boland 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 8.4% 12.1% 14.8% 18.4% 13.9% 10.3% 5.3% 1.3%
Tyler Wyatt 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 4.3% 3.4% 6.9% 11.9% 16.3% 19.9% 17.3% 12.6%
Nina Van De Vaarst 1.8% 3.6% 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 8.4% 15.3% 16.5% 15.3% 13.6% 7.2% 4.7% 1.6%
Catherine White 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 4.8% 6.9% 9.5% 17.0% 22.4% 33.0%
Bennett Brainard 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 4.2% 4.4% 8.0% 12.5% 14.8% 17.6% 19.6% 13.1%
Alexandra Polli 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 3.8% 6.4% 10.0% 14.1% 23.1% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.