← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+3.00vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02+3.75vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.35+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Monmouth University-0.09+4.34vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.71-2.43vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-0.95+4.00vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.59-2.51vs Predicted
-
8Washington College1.26-2.80vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College0.23-2.44vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University0.10-3.20vs Predicted
-
12St. John's College-1.56-0.91vs Predicted
-
13Penn State University-1.47-1.88vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.81-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
-
5.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.1%1st Place
-
3.18George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
-
8.34Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
2.57Fordham University2.710.3%1st Place
-
10.0University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
-
4.49George Washington University1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.2Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
-
7.56Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.8Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.09St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
-
11.12Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.9Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Robertson | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 20.4% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Matt Cappetta | 32.3% | 24.1% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 12.0% |
| Taylor Brimberg | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Catherine White | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 32.8% |
| Alexandra Polli | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 36.3% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.