Race 1A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Taylor Nathanson 13.4% 12.5% 13.1% 12.9% 11.9% 12.1% 7.7% 6.6% 5.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 5.2% 4.9% 6.7% 9.8% 7.0% 10.6% 10.1% 11.1% 11.1% 12.8% 8.2% 2.5%
John Cappetta 7.7% 5.1% 8.1% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 12.2% 12.3% 10.4% 8.6% 7.0% 1.4%
Jan Kite-Powell 13.9% 18.5% 14.1% 13.1% 11.5% 10.1% 7.0% 5.1% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Brendan Read 18.2% 17.1% 15.0% 11.9% 11.9% 8.8% 5.6% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Ben Brown 4.9% 5.0% 7.4% 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 12.4% 9.5% 12.4% 12.8% 10.9% 3.8%
Jennifer Lee 3.8% 4.0% 3.5% 6.2% 6.3% 6.1% 8.6% 9.5% 10.6% 13.9% 19.4% 8.1%
James Amaral 7.6% 6.5% 8.3% 7.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.3% 10.3% 11.9% 11.0% 5.9% 2.4%
Sam Shannon 16.5% 17.2% 13.5% 12.7% 11.7% 10.0% 8.0% 5.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 5.0% 4.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 10.5% 12.9% 12.4% 15.1% 5.6%
George Luber 3.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.6% 5.3% 7.3% 7.5% 11.7% 12.0% 14.4% 18.0% 8.0%
Kyle Thomas 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.1% 5.4% 12.2% 68.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.