Race 2A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam Shannon 14.8% 14.8% 14.8% 12.7% 11.8% 10.0% 7.3% 6.8% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0%
John Cappetta 5.8% 7.4% 8.9% 7.9% 8.2% 9.8% 11.6% 10.7% 11.7% 9.5% 6.9% 1.6%
Ben Brown 6.3% 5.6% 4.9% 6.9% 7.9% 7.1% 9.2% 11.3% 13.1% 13.0% 10.9% 3.8%
George Luber 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 10.2% 9.8% 11.8% 13.8% 17.1% 7.3%
Samuel Campbell 3.7% 5.3% 3.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 9.0% 9.2% 14.3% 13.3% 13.0% 7.3%
Taylor Nathanson 14.3% 12.1% 14.4% 13.7% 10.8% 12.2% 7.4% 6.6% 4.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Brendan Read 18.5% 19.2% 13.7% 12.1% 9.7% 8.6% 7.7% 6.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
James Amaral 7.2% 6.8% 9.4% 7.1% 8.3% 9.2% 10.4% 9.7% 11.7% 10.4% 7.2% 2.6%
Kurran Singh 5.4% 5.7% 7.3% 8.3% 11.1% 9.0% 11.0% 10.6% 11.2% 11.4% 8.0% 1.0%
Jennifer Lee 4.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.6% 5.0% 7.7% 7.3% 9.8% 10.4% 15.3% 19.1% 8.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 16.3% 15.2% 13.9% 12.0% 12.0% 10.4% 7.2% 6.6% 3.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Kyle Thomas 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 4.3% 13.8% 68.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.