Race 3A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam Shannon 15.2% 14.9% 13.4% 13.3% 12.5% 9.5% 7.3% 6.4% 3.7% 2.1% 1.6% 0.1%
James Amaral 5.1% 7.9% 7.7% 8.4% 7.0% 10.5% 11.2% 11.4% 11.4% 8.2% 8.1% 3.1%
Brendan Read 16.8% 15.9% 16.0% 13.6% 10.7% 10.9% 7.5% 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 5.3% 5.5% 7.2% 8.9% 8.2% 8.5% 10.9% 10.5% 11.8% 10.8% 8.9% 3.5%
John Cappetta 6.1% 7.5% 8.2% 8.4% 9.8% 8.8% 10.1% 11.2% 10.0% 9.1% 7.2% 3.6%
Taylor Nathanson 14.4% 13.8% 13.5% 12.0% 11.2% 9.4% 9.1% 7.3% 4.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Jennifer Lee 3.6% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 8.5% 11.1% 14.1% 16.4% 11.8%
Ben Brown 6.8% 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.4% 9.9% 9.8% 10.9% 12.3% 10.0% 5.7%
Nathaniel Douglass 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 6.4% 9.7% 13.9% 53.9%
George Luber 4.8% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.1% 10.7% 11.3% 13.9% 16.3% 9.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 16.5% 14.7% 14.1% 12.3% 12.1% 8.9% 8.9% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Samuel Campbell 4.4% 4.4% 3.9% 5.5% 7.2% 7.3% 7.5% 11.7% 11.7% 12.9% 14.9% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.