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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+5.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.85+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.26+4.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.06+4.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.14+0.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+4.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.61-0.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.73-2.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+0.22vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.85-1.75vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.94-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.36-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.82-5.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-1.59vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.97+0.53vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.61-3.27vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.91-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.4%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University1.8514.2%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.267.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University1.065.1%1st Place
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5.06Brown University2.1414.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.5%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University1.618.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College1.7311.2%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University0.804.2%1st Place
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9.25University of Michigan0.854.0%1st Place
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8.94Jacksonville University0.944.3%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont0.361.9%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island0.824.7%1st Place
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13.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.5%1st Place
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16.53Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
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13.73University of New Hampshire-0.610.9%1st Place
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16.44Bates College-1.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Visco | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marco Welch | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 4.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 10.4% | 27.5% | 46.5% |
| James Frady | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 5.0% |
| Georgia Green | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 29.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.