Race 4A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brendan Read 16.7% 15.2% 15.2% 14.2% 11.9% 9.9% 6.2% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 5.3% 5.5% 7.6% 8.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.1% 10.5% 11.5% 11.4% 9.0% 3.4%
Ben Brown 5.9% 5.4% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 12.3% 12.7% 10.7% 4.7%
Sam Shannon 14.1% 16.8% 14.7% 12.5% 11.8% 10.1% 6.9% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
John Cappetta 7.0% 6.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.6% 8.7% 10.4% 11.4% 8.8% 9.5% 7.2% 3.4%
James Amaral 6.8% 6.1% 8.0% 7.7% 7.3% 9.3% 11.5% 11.3% 12.0% 9.4% 7.5% 3.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 16.8% 16.7% 15.0% 11.6% 11.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Taylor Nathanson 15.8% 14.6% 12.2% 12.0% 9.9% 10.8% 8.7% 6.9% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Jennifer Lee 2.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 9.9% 9.7% 11.4% 13.9% 16.2% 10.1%
Samuel Campbell 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.9% 8.3% 10.2% 11.4% 13.7% 13.5% 7.4%
George Luber 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 6.0% 5.3% 8.3% 11.4% 11.4% 13.2% 16.3% 11.4%
Nathaniel Douglass 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 5.9% 7.7% 15.6% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.