Race 5A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jan Kite-Powell 16.0% 15.8% 13.1% 12.4% 12.8% 9.8% 7.5% 6.5% 3.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2%
John Cappetta 5.1% 9.2% 7.7% 7.5% 8.8% 9.9% 11.5% 10.7% 10.0% 10.2% 7.4% 2.0%
Jennifer Lee 4.2% 3.8% 3.2% 5.7% 5.4% 5.5% 7.9% 8.4% 11.3% 15.5% 17.6% 11.5%
Sam Shannon 13.6% 16.7% 14.7% 12.8% 12.0% 8.8% 7.8% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
James Amaral 5.9% 7.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.9% 10.6% 9.3% 10.7% 11.0% 9.9% 9.2% 2.7%
Brendan Read 18.6% 14.0% 15.3% 13.5% 10.9% 9.3% 8.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
George Luber 4.6% 3.8% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.9% 9.1% 11.1% 13.7% 15.1% 9.7%
Samuel Campbell 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.8% 5.5% 7.5% 8.1% 10.5% 11.8% 13.0% 13.5% 8.3%
Kurran Singh 5.5% 4.7% 8.3% 9.3% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 11.0% 11.6% 9.6% 8.4% 2.9%
Ben Brown 6.0% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.3% 9.1% 8.3% 11.6% 12.0% 12.8% 9.2% 5.9%
Nathaniel Douglass 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 6.0% 6.9% 16.2% 55.9%
Taylor Nathanson 14.2% 13.0% 13.4% 11.6% 11.2% 10.8% 9.4% 7.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.