Race 6A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brendan Read 17.1% 15.4% 15.2% 14.2% 10.8% 10.4% 6.3% 5.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 16.3% 17.1% 14.2% 12.5% 10.0% 10.3% 7.5% 5.2% 3.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Taylor Nathanson 14.3% 14.5% 12.1% 11.7% 11.9% 12.0% 9.1% 7.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 4.6% 6.2% 6.3% 8.3% 9.5% 9.9% 8.8% 10.7% 11.8% 10.5% 9.9% 3.5%
Jennifer Lee 2.9% 4.5% 3.7% 5.4% 5.7% 5.9% 8.1% 10.0% 9.7% 12.4% 19.2% 12.5%
John Cappetta 7.1% 7.1% 7.9% 7.3% 7.6% 10.1% 11.3% 12.6% 10.8% 8.9% 6.7% 2.6%
Ben Brown 6.4% 5.0% 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 13.1% 12.4% 9.4% 5.0%
James Amaral 7.7% 6.6% 8.5% 7.5% 8.7% 7.9% 11.3% 10.3% 10.1% 11.8% 5.7% 3.9%
George Luber 3.7% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 11.2% 11.4% 14.8% 15.1% 7.6%
Sam Shannon 15.0% 16.0% 14.8% 12.4% 11.4% 8.6% 8.6% 6.1% 4.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 4.1% 3.1% 5.0% 6.8% 5.0% 7.9% 9.0% 8.9% 12.4% 14.0% 14.5% 9.3%
Nathaniel Douglass 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.0% 3.1% 5.3% 7.6% 16.1% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.