Race 8A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jennifer Lee 3.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.9% 7.2% 12.5% 16.4% 17.7% 9.9%
Taylor Nathanson 13.3% 13.5% 14.2% 13.6% 11.7% 10.2% 7.8% 7.6% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Ben Brown 5.5% 5.9% 4.6% 7.8% 6.6% 8.5% 9.5% 11.2% 12.8% 12.7% 10.4% 4.5%
Kurran Singh 5.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.8% 9.0% 10.3% 11.3% 11.0% 10.7% 9.7% 9.4% 2.9%
Jan Kite-Powell 17.2% 16.8% 13.8% 11.7% 10.7% 9.7% 7.4% 6.5% 2.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Samuel Campbell 3.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 4.6% 6.6% 10.1% 11.3% 11.5% 13.2% 16.5% 5.6%
John Cappetta 7.4% 7.9% 6.7% 9.1% 10.7% 9.5% 9.3% 11.6% 10.8% 9.1% 5.5% 2.4%
Brendan Read 20.8% 14.7% 14.9% 12.3% 10.7% 9.2% 6.8% 5.5% 2.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
James Amaral 5.7% 5.9% 7.7% 10.8% 9.7% 10.9% 10.0% 10.4% 11.3% 9.2% 6.4% 2.0%
Kyle Thomas 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 4.3% 6.6% 13.5% 64.1%
George Luber 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 4.0% 5.6% 6.6% 9.3% 10.9% 12.0% 14.1% 17.3% 8.3%
Sam Shannon 13.6% 16.2% 14.8% 11.7% 11.8% 10.7% 8.8% 5.1% 4.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.