Race 9A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jan Kite-Powell 15.8% 14.8% 13.9% 15.0% 12.0% 9.3% 7.6% 4.4% 4.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Brendan Read 18.1% 16.2% 15.2% 13.2% 11.6% 7.9% 6.6% 6.3% 2.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
John Cappetta 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 7.4% 11.4% 10.1% 12.3% 11.3% 9.2% 6.5% 1.8%
James Amaral 4.9% 6.8% 8.1% 8.4% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 11.2% 9.7% 11.0% 8.6% 1.7%
Taylor Nathanson 13.6% 15.4% 13.4% 12.0% 10.5% 11.1% 7.8% 6.6% 5.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Kurran Singh 6.1% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.4% 10.9% 10.3% 11.8% 10.2% 10.6% 10.5% 2.3%
Samuel Campbell 4.6% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 8.7% 10.0% 13.2% 13.0% 14.0% 5.8%
George Luber 4.3% 4.1% 5.6% 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 8.3% 10.0% 10.8% 14.4% 17.6% 7.3%
Jennifer Lee 3.4% 3.7% 3.4% 4.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.1% 10.0% 13.3% 15.4% 18.2% 6.1%
Ben Brown 6.1% 5.0% 6.7% 6.5% 8.2% 7.6% 10.7% 9.8% 12.6% 11.4% 11.7% 3.7%
Kyle Thomas 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.8% 2.0% 3.9% 5.8% 9.4% 70.6%
Sam Shannon 14.7% 14.5% 14.2% 13.3% 10.8% 10.1% 10.1% 5.6% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.