Race 10A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Taylor Nathanson 13.1% 13.2% 13.1% 13.2% 13.4% 10.6% 6.9% 7.3% 4.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Jan Kite-Powell 16.4% 15.7% 14.5% 14.4% 10.8% 8.9% 7.1% 7.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Kurran Singh 6.3% 5.9% 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 9.1% 10.2% 12.5% 12.5% 11.2% 7.3% 2.9%
Ben Brown 4.7% 4.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 9.7% 11.1% 10.4% 11.0% 13.0% 3.2%
Brendan Read 17.2% 17.9% 16.0% 9.4% 13.6% 9.3% 5.7% 4.6% 3.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
John Cappetta 6.8% 7.9% 5.7% 9.2% 8.9% 10.4% 11.6% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 5.2% 2.1%
Jennifer Lee 4.2% 3.8% 4.2% 6.0% 5.7% 6.7% 8.5% 9.1% 11.1% 13.7% 19.1% 7.9%
Samuel Campbell 4.4% 5.7% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.5% 9.4% 9.8% 12.6% 13.2% 14.7% 5.8%
Kyle Thomas 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 7.0% 11.1% 67.2%
James Amaral 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 8.5% 9.3% 10.9% 10.1% 12.0% 10.3% 6.9% 2.3%
George Luber 4.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.9% 5.0% 6.9% 8.5% 9.1% 12.1% 13.7% 19.9% 7.8%
Sam Shannon 15.1% 14.9% 15.0% 12.6% 10.4% 10.5% 9.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.