Race 11A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Taylor Nathanson 11.9% 14.2% 11.8% 13.7% 13.6% 11.0% 9.7% 6.8% 4.2% 2.7% 0.4%
Brendan Read 17.6% 17.0% 14.4% 13.0% 12.6% 10.4% 6.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Ben Brown 5.4% 4.0% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 9.0% 9.4% 11.5% 14.0% 13.6% 13.4%
John Cappetta 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.0% 13.3% 13.8% 10.9% 9.5% 7.3%
Jennifer Lee 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 5.9% 4.6% 7.4% 8.1% 8.6% 12.4% 17.9% 23.3%
Kurran Singh 5.6% 6.0% 7.2% 7.5% 8.2% 9.9% 10.9% 12.4% 12.4% 10.4% 9.5%
James Amaral 7.6% 6.1% 9.0% 8.3% 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 12.6% 9.9% 9.5% 7.5%
Jan Kite-Powell 17.7% 16.8% 15.6% 11.2% 11.3% 9.5% 7.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Samuel Campbell 3.7% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 7.7% 7.0% 8.4% 9.8% 13.3% 16.2% 17.8%
George Luber 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 5.0% 6.8% 6.7% 8.9% 10.7% 12.6% 15.8% 19.6%
Sam Shannon 16.8% 16.0% 14.1% 14.1% 10.9% 10.1% 7.6% 4.1% 4.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.