Race 12A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Taylor Nathanson 12.8% 13.3% 13.1% 13.3% 12.3% 10.7% 10.5% 6.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.9%
Brendan Read 18.3% 17.7% 13.7% 13.8% 10.4% 7.7% 8.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 14.6% 14.8% 15.3% 13.3% 12.0% 10.5% 8.5% 4.9% 3.1% 2.3% 0.7%
John Cappetta 6.0% 6.6% 7.9% 6.1% 8.7% 11.8% 11.3% 12.2% 12.1% 9.7% 7.6%
Ben Brown 5.8% 4.9% 6.7% 6.7% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 11.9% 11.4% 14.4% 12.2%
Jennifer Lee 3.5% 3.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.2% 5.9% 8.4% 9.3% 14.7% 15.0% 24.9%
Samuel Campbell 5.1% 4.9% 5.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.3% 9.3% 11.7% 12.7% 14.5% 15.7%
Kurran Singh 6.5% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 8.8% 10.7% 9.9% 10.0% 11.3% 11.2% 9.2%
James Amaral 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 8.9% 8.3% 10.0% 10.0% 11.7% 11.2% 12.6% 7.8%
George Luber 4.1% 5.4% 3.7% 5.4% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 10.7% 12.4% 15.4% 20.3%
Sam Shannon 17.1% 16.4% 15.4% 12.3% 11.2% 9.5% 6.6% 5.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.