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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+3.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.85+3.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+3.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.73+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.85+2.81vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.26+0.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.80+0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.82-1.31vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94-2.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.06-3.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.36-3.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-1.57vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.61-2.20vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.97-0.47vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.91-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University2.1415.4%1st Place
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5.07Harvard University1.8513.9%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University1.6110.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.3%1st Place
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5.64Boston College1.7312.2%1st Place
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8.81University of Michigan0.854.9%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida1.266.5%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.6%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University0.804.3%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island0.824.8%1st Place
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8.74Jacksonville University0.945.2%1st Place
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8.3Boston University1.065.2%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont0.362.7%1st Place
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13.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.1%1st Place
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13.8University of New Hampshire-0.611.2%1st Place
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16.53Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
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16.45Bates College-1.910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 15.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marco Welch | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 4.2% |
| James Frady | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 16.8% | 5.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 28.1% | 46.4% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 29.8% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.