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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+7.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+4.20vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+6.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.45vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.01vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+4.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09+0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-0.19vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.90-0.28vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.30+1.59vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-2.04vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-3.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-0.32vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-3.68vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.04vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-4.97vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.06-4.30vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College3.58-7.87vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut2.59-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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12.59Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.96Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.75Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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13.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.7Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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11.13Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Evan Siepert | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| John Giuliano | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.