Race 2B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Fuller 7.6% 8.2% 9.5% 8.8% 10.5% 12.5% 11.9% 11.0% 9.3% 5.4% 3.8% 1.5%
Sean Beaulieu 10.0% 12.0% 11.3% 12.8% 12.7% 10.1% 10.4% 10.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Peter Girard 7.8% 7.8% 8.4% 9.9% 9.6% 9.6% 12.4% 12.1% 8.9% 8.1% 4.1% 1.3%
Julien Guiot 14.1% 14.3% 13.1% 12.9% 13.0% 10.2% 8.9% 5.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.3%
Lydia Grasberger 20.2% 18.0% 17.0% 11.8% 11.2% 8.6% 5.2% 4.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Graham Roeber 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 4.4% 3.7% 5.5% 5.6% 7.1% 11.9% 15.4% 20.3% 18.8%
Peter Christensen 11.1% 11.1% 10.8% 11.3% 11.4% 11.9% 9.8% 9.6% 5.9% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
Lindsay Doyle 18.0% 15.0% 13.9% 12.5% 11.1% 10.0% 7.9% 5.9% 2.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Peter Kerby-Miller 2.7% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 14.1% 15.6% 10.9% 5.7%
Judas Taylor 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 4.8% 6.2% 10.0% 13.5% 19.8% 31.1%
Christopher Dawson 3.3% 2.3% 3.6% 5.4% 5.1% 5.7% 7.8% 10.7% 14.2% 15.0% 15.8% 11.1%
Amy Macdonald 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 2.2% 3.8% 5.2% 6.5% 10.2% 14.5% 20.3% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.