Race 5B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Girard 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 9.8% 7.8% 11.4% 13.4% 11.1% 10.1% 7.7% 4.0% 2.1%
Sean Beaulieu 10.1% 11.7% 10.0% 11.8% 13.0% 11.6% 11.4% 8.5% 6.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Lindsay Doyle 17.2% 13.4% 14.2% 12.0% 12.9% 10.1% 9.2% 6.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 19.9% 18.4% 15.4% 14.0% 12.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 14.3% 14.3% 14.5% 10.8% 11.7% 12.2% 8.2% 5.4% 4.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Peter Kerby-Miller 3.4% 3.5% 5.6% 5.7% 6.1% 6.7% 9.1% 11.5% 13.0% 16.7% 12.3% 6.4%
Christopher Dawson 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 4.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 10.6% 12.3% 15.2% 15.2% 9.9%
Sarah Fuller 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 9.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.3% 12.5% 9.1% 5.5% 2.8% 2.1%
Peter Christensen 9.6% 11.1% 12.5% 13.4% 11.0% 11.4% 11.0% 8.7% 6.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Amy Macdonald 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 7.0% 10.6% 15.2% 19.2% 28.0%
Graham Roeber 2.7% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 8.3% 11.8% 14.6% 21.3% 19.4%
Judas Taylor 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 1.8% 3.8% 3.4% 6.7% 10.6% 12.7% 21.2% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.