Race 6B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Dawson 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.9% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 9.2% 14.1% 15.9% 14.2% 11.5%
Lydia Grasberger 19.0% 19.3% 15.7% 14.5% 9.1% 9.5% 5.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Sarah Fuller 8.1% 8.2% 8.4% 9.6% 11.0% 11.4% 11.8% 12.0% 9.5% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0%
Judas Taylor 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 3.1% 5.4% 7.6% 9.5% 12.2% 21.6% 30.6%
Amy Macdonald 1.3% 2.5% 1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 6.4% 9.6% 16.2% 18.7% 28.2%
Julien Guiot 15.7% 12.5% 12.3% 15.0% 11.0% 11.4% 8.0% 6.5% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 11.8% 11.2% 11.2% 12.0% 12.5% 11.0% 9.9% 9.0% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Peter Girard 8.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.3% 10.6% 9.6% 9.7% 11.8% 10.4% 6.8% 5.2% 1.3%
Lindsay Doyle 14.7% 16.9% 16.9% 12.1% 11.5% 10.1% 8.5% 4.2% 2.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Graham Roeber 2.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.9% 7.3% 8.6% 11.3% 16.6% 18.3% 18.1%
Peter Kerby-Miller 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 7.1% 10.3% 12.4% 12.9% 12.8% 14.5% 8.7%
Peter Christensen 10.3% 9.9% 11.1% 10.9% 13.5% 11.3% 10.5% 8.1% 8.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.