Race 7B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julien Guiot 14.0% 12.4% 13.1% 13.1% 14.9% 10.4% 8.9% 5.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 15.6% 14.9% 13.9% 15.5% 11.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 11.3% 9.9% 12.2% 11.1% 11.2% 9.6% 13.2% 9.5% 7.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7%
Peter Christensen 8.9% 11.7% 11.4% 13.2% 10.8% 12.0% 9.9% 8.7% 6.2% 5.4% 1.0% 0.8%
Lydia Grasberger 21.0% 19.4% 15.6% 11.1% 11.2% 8.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Girard 7.4% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 11.9% 12.2% 10.6% 11.1% 7.1% 4.3% 1.2%
Sarah Fuller 9.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 11.8% 9.3% 11.4% 7.8% 7.4% 3.1% 1.5%
Graham Roeber 2.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 4.9% 6.6% 8.4% 9.9% 16.8% 19.3% 17.7%
Christopher Dawson 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 3.7% 5.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.9% 14.2% 14.4% 14.7% 9.5%
Peter Kerby-Miller 4.4% 4.3% 5.1% 5.6% 5.7% 7.5% 8.9% 11.4% 13.7% 13.9% 12.6% 6.9%
Judas Taylor 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 4.5% 6.4% 9.2% 13.7% 22.2% 30.7%
Amy Macdonald 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 7.4% 11.1% 13.0% 19.9% 30.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.