Race 8B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Girard 7.3% 7.2% 8.4% 9.3% 9.7% 9.3% 11.9% 14.0% 10.1% 7.5% 3.8% 1.5%
Peter Kerby-Miller 3.9% 2.8% 4.7% 6.0% 6.7% 7.5% 9.9% 9.7% 14.2% 15.6% 11.9% 7.1%
Lydia Grasberger 21.3% 14.8% 17.3% 14.0% 11.5% 9.0% 5.7% 3.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 14.0% 16.7% 13.9% 12.8% 13.4% 10.5% 7.6% 4.5% 4.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Christensen 10.0% 11.6% 11.0% 12.6% 9.2% 10.8% 11.4% 9.2% 6.3% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Graham Roeber 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 4.3% 4.2% 4.0% 6.3% 8.3% 11.1% 14.5% 21.7% 18.4%
Sean Beaulieu 11.3% 13.7% 10.3% 10.5% 11.1% 12.0% 10.6% 8.4% 6.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Julien Guiot 15.5% 14.3% 13.4% 12.0% 11.5% 11.2% 8.6% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6%
Sarah Fuller 7.6% 8.4% 10.9% 11.0% 12.0% 9.9% 11.1% 10.8% 9.8% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Amy Macdonald 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.7% 7.9% 9.7% 14.6% 19.2% 28.6%
Judas Taylor 1.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 5.0% 3.9% 5.4% 9.0% 13.0% 21.3% 32.4%
Christopher Dawson 3.0% 4.4% 2.8% 2.9% 5.4% 7.7% 8.3% 12.5% 12.9% 14.8% 15.5% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.