Race 9B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Fuller 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 8.9% 11.4% 12.2% 11.4% 10.3% 10.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Lydia Grasberger 19.6% 18.6% 16.8% 13.8% 11.3% 7.4% 5.7% 4.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Girard 8.4% 6.1% 9.3% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 11.6% 12.9% 9.4% 7.7% 4.6% 1.2%
Peter Christensen 9.2% 11.5% 11.4% 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 10.5% 7.6% 7.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Christopher Dawson 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.8% 10.0% 12.5% 15.9% 13.2% 12.1%
Graham Roeber 2.2% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 5.5% 5.2% 7.3% 12.8% 14.9% 19.4% 19.6%
Sean Beaulieu 12.1% 12.1% 11.1% 11.4% 10.8% 11.4% 10.7% 8.3% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Lindsay Doyle 18.2% 15.8% 12.4% 13.5% 10.7% 9.9% 7.5% 5.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Peter Kerby-Miller 2.5% 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 7.5% 7.9% 9.8% 12.7% 12.6% 14.5% 12.3% 5.5%
Judas Taylor 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 6.9% 9.0% 14.1% 19.7% 30.7%
Julien Guiot 13.7% 14.2% 13.4% 11.4% 12.0% 11.7% 8.5% 7.6% 3.3% 2.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Amy Macdonald 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 5.5% 6.5% 10.7% 14.1% 21.2% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.