Race 10B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Dawson 2.9% 4.0% 3.8% 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 7.5% 10.3% 15.4% 14.6% 15.6% 10.0%
Graham Roeber 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 3.5% 5.3% 6.4% 8.1% 12.9% 14.6% 18.8% 19.4%
Sean Beaulieu 10.4% 11.2% 11.8% 10.9% 11.2% 11.8% 12.0% 8.9% 6.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Sarah Fuller 7.2% 8.7% 11.1% 9.1% 13.2% 10.7% 10.0% 11.9% 7.9% 5.5% 3.7% 1.0%
Lydia Grasberger 20.8% 17.9% 17.1% 11.5% 10.9% 9.5% 5.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Christensen 11.5% 9.0% 10.3% 12.6% 10.9% 12.9% 9.2% 10.3% 6.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.5%
Lindsay Doyle 15.9% 17.1% 13.7% 14.0% 11.8% 7.5% 8.8% 4.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Peter Kerby-Miller 3.2% 5.9% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 7.8% 8.7% 10.9% 10.6% 14.9% 13.0% 8.2%
Judas Taylor 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.4% 9.9% 15.3% 19.4% 28.3%
Julien Guiot 14.9% 14.0% 13.4% 13.8% 12.1% 9.7% 8.7% 6.0% 4.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Amy Macdonald 2.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 6.4% 8.8% 15.2% 20.1% 30.8%
Peter Girard 7.6% 7.0% 8.7% 9.4% 9.0% 10.4% 12.9% 10.7% 12.0% 6.8% 4.4% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.