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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+6.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+6.47vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+6.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.90+2.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.58+3.03vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.06+4.48vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.38vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.59+3.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+1.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy4.09-6.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.02vs Predicted
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17Boston University4.07-8.25vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-5.40vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.56-7.80vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.36-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.47Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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11.03Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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15.57University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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14.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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12.6Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| John Giuliano | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 30.8% |
| Evan Siepert | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.