Race 12B

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Kerby-Miller 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.9% 8.0% 12.0% 13.9% 17.4% 16.7% 9.5%
Lydia Grasberger 21.4% 19.9% 16.1% 13.7% 9.2% 8.5% 6.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Julien Guiot 13.9% 12.7% 13.9% 13.3% 12.3% 12.8% 9.6% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Christopher Dawson 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 8.7% 12.3% 18.3% 19.1% 15.3%
Sarah Fuller 8.3% 8.7% 9.7% 11.2% 11.4% 10.9% 10.8% 12.1% 9.6% 5.5% 1.8%
Peter Girard 7.9% 8.6% 8.0% 9.3% 10.0% 12.8% 10.9% 13.6% 10.4% 6.2% 2.3%
Lindsay Doyle 18.0% 17.1% 14.0% 13.5% 12.6% 9.9% 7.5% 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Peter Christensen 11.4% 12.0% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0% 9.8% 11.4% 9.7% 6.0% 3.3% 0.4%
Sean Beaulieu 9.9% 11.1% 13.6% 11.8% 10.5% 12.2% 11.0% 9.2% 6.3% 3.1% 1.3%
Judas Taylor 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 4.9% 4.2% 5.5% 9.2% 11.3% 19.4% 37.1%
Amy Macdonald 1.4% 1.8% 3.6% 2.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 7.7% 13.1% 23.7% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.