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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.47+7.20vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.71vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+0.54vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.78+3.25vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+2.39vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15+3.50vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.37+1.64vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49+0.27vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01-2.60vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.22vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-2.24vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.75-1.05vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.72-2.01vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.73-3.29vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.28-6.09vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech1.15-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.71Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.54Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.39Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.5Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.64Villanova University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.27Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.4Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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4.78SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.76Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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10.99Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.71William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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8.91Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.5Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 9.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.6% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mason | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.