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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+8.27vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.35+6.58vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.37+5.66vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.71vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21+0.96vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.33vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+1.23vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49+0.24vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01-2.57vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-6.36vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.15-1.73vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.78-4.66vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.75-2.02vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.73-3.05vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.28-6.08vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.58Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.66Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.71SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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5.96Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.33Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.23Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.24Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.43Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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3.64Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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9.27Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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10.95William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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8.92Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.76Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.3% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mason | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.