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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.27+4.75vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+1.63vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+2.93vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01+2.69vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.35+3.97vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.55vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+1.47vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.37+0.88vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.62-1.06vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.15-0.31vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.73-0.07vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.15-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.75-1.88vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.49-5.29vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-10.15vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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3.63Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.93Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.69Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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8.97Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.55Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.47Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.88Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.94Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.69Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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10.93William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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9.69Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.71Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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4.85SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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10.89Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Bankert | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.1% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 12.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.