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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.71vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.86vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+6.54vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.35+4.85vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+2.57vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.75+3.77vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47+0.55vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01-2.39vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.27-4.07vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.73-0.04vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.37-2.87vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.72-1.88vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.62-6.02vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech1.15-5.46vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook2.59-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.86Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.54Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.85Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.57Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.52Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.55Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.61Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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10.96William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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9.13Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.12Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.98Queen's University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.54Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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4.9SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.3% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.