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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+8.52vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.97vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+2.11vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-0.23vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49+3.56vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.37+2.94vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.01-0.26vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.35+1.02vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.62-1.02vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.01vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.15-1.48vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-3.39vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-5.19vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.73-2.88vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.72-4.04vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo0.75-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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5.97Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.77Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.56Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.94Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.74Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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9.02Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.98Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.99SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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9.52Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.61Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.81Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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11.12William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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10.96Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.5% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.