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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.77vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.37+6.72vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15+6.55vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01+2.71vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50+0.23vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.62+2.06vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49+1.41vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.41vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.73+1.95vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.35-0.96vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.98vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.75-0.86vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech1.15-3.45vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-5.18vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.72-4.03vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.72Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.55Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.71Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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5.23Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.06Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.41Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.59Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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10.95William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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9.04Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.02SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.55Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.82Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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10.97Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.03Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 21.5% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.