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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.64vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.69vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+5.23vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15+5.42vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.37+3.77vs Predicted
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6Penn State University1.35+2.81vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.15+2.42vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.01-1.59vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.28+0.02vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.73+0.77vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.27-5.18vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook2.59-7.13vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.75-2.02vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.49-5.46vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-6.71vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.69Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.23Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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9.42Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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8.77Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.81Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.42Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.41Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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9.02Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.77William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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5.82Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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4.87SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.54Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.29Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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10.73Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.7% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.1% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.