← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech1.15+8.39vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.81vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.47+5.40vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University3.02-0.26vs Predicted
-
5Washington College2.01+1.68vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University1.35+2.87vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.27-1.24vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech1.15+1.39vs Predicted
-
9Villanova University1.37-0.19vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Buffalo0.75-0.11vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.72-1.07vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University1.49-4.44vs Predicted
-
14Queen's University1.62-5.79vs Predicted
-
15Stevens Institute of Technology1.48-6.65vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.73-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.39Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
-
5.81Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.4Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
-
3.74Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
-
6.68Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.87Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.76Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
-
9.39Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.81Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
-
4.77SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
10.89University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
-
10.93Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.56Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
-
8.21Queen's University1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.35Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
-
10.81William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.0% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Jason Bankert | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.