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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.58+9.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+5.59vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+2.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.92+0.35vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+4.66vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+3.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.28vs Predicted
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10Boston University4.07-1.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-1.34vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-2.50vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.68vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-1.46vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-5.25vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.90-6.31vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.06-3.60vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.59-2.47vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-7.66vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.23Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.5Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.54Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.75Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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13.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| John Giuliano | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 29.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.