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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.73+4.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.82+5.86vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+4.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.26+1.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.06+1.23vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-2.93vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.61-2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.36+0.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-1.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-3.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-4.13vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.85-4.96vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.38vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.91+0.31vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-3.62vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.97-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Boston College1.7310.3%1st Place
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4.84Brown University2.1414.9%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.824.8%1st Place
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8.55Jacksonville University0.945.1%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.7%1st Place
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7.18University of South Florida1.267.3%1st Place
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8.23Boston University1.066.2%1st Place
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5.07Harvard University1.8514.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University1.618.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Vermont0.363.2%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.494.3%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University0.804.7%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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9.04University of Michigan0.855.1%1st Place
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13.62University of New Hampshire-0.611.1%1st Place
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16.31Bates College-1.910.3%1st Place
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13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.2%1st Place
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16.43Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 6.6% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 29.3% | 40.4% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 4.8% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 26.2% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.