Race 10A

henry-luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Paolo Bertolotti 6.4% 4.1% 6.0% 6.4% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 7.6% 8.5% 6.4% 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 5.6% 5.0% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 7.0% 10.4% 8.1% 10.4% 9.3% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 6.7% 5.5% 6.1% 5.0% 3.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 22.3% 18.3% 15.5% 12.8% 9.4% 8.4% 4.7% 4.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 9.5% 9.2% 11.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.8% 8.1% 8.8% 8.3% 5.2% 3.7% 3.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Thompson 5.6% 6.1% 5.4% 5.0% 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 8.7% 8.1% 9.5% 8.9% 6.6% 6.9% 4.5% 3.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 4.9% 4.9% 5.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.4% 7.6% 7.9% 9.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.1% 5.9% 6.7% 4.4% 0.0%
Eric Roos 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 4.2% 4.0% 6.7% 9.4% 9.0% 10.4% 15.4% 18.9% 0.0%
John Shanahan 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 9.4% 5.9% 9.7% 10.9% 8.0% 5.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.0% 4.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.8% 6.4% 4.6% 7.5% 6.8% 8.4% 10.0% 9.0% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 5.0% 6.2% 6.9% 8.7% 11.1% 14.8% 21.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.0% 4.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.8% 6.4% 4.6% 7.5% 6.8% 8.4% 10.0% 9.0% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 0.0%
Jason Bankert 9.6% 11.2% 11.8% 9.5% 8.0% 9.0% 8.7% 6.6% 7.0% 5.9% 4.5% 4.3% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Bailey Cornog 4.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.7% 7.2% 5.7% 6.9% 7.1% 8.8% 7.9% 9.0% 8.4% 9.0% 9.3% 5.6% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 13.0% 11.8% 12.5% 12.5% 9.3% 9.6% 9.2% 6.2% 6.3% 4.3% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Rory Mess 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 5.3% 5.2% 5.7% 7.5% 9.2% 10.6% 13.2% 21.1% 0.0%
Nicolas Carabelli 4.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.4% 7.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.9% 6.6% 8.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.1% 2.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.