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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.98vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.47+6.53vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50-0.04vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.37+4.99vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.35+4.14vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21+0.29vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.82vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.15+1.82vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.73+2.02vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.49-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.75+0.05vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-4.04vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.72-1.72vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.62-5.83vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech1.15-5.18vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-9.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.53Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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2.96Old Dominion University3.500.3%1st Place
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8.99Villanova University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.14Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.29Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.18SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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9.82Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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11.02William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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8.71Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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7.96Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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11.28Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.17Queen's University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.82Virginia Tech1.150.0%1st Place
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6.9Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 19.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 28.7% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Cornog | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Roos | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Thompson | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.