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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+5.73vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+2.93vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.06+6.23vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+0.60vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.35+3.01vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.00+2.67vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland1.85-1.56vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.27-0.65vs Predicted
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10Villanova University2.04-4.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.51+0.16vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.65-4.73vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.28vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-5.90vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.16-1.66vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.15-3.67vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-7.57vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-0.78-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.93Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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9.23Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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4.6Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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8.01Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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8.01Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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8.35Old Dominion University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.89Villanova University2.040.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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7.27Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.72SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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8.1Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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13.34Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.33William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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9.43Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.8Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 16.3% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 44.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.