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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.45+3.38vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.06+7.14vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+2.09vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71+2.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy0.51+6.01vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo1.00+3.68vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35+1.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.27+0.34vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16+4.42vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland1.85-4.43vs Predicted
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12Villanova University2.04-6.21vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.65-5.75vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.03-4.53vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.03-2.35vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech1.35-7.87vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.15-4.56vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-0.78-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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9.14Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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5.09Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.9Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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8.13Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University1.270.1%1st Place
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13.42Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.93Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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5.79Villanova University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.25Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.47Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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8.13Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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12.44William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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14.82Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Siegel | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McMillan | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 46.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.