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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.45+3.11vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.53+5.01vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.06+5.67vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.59vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.35+2.48vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland1.85-1.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University-0.86+6.23vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.35-1.52vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-3.37vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.03-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.00-2.97vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.15-1.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.51-3.21vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.16-2.13vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.65-9.37vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.78-2.65vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.03-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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7.01Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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8.67Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.59Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.48Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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4.82Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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14.23Old Dominion University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.48Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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6.63Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.71Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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11.83William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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12.87Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.63Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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14.35Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.26SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Siegel | 20.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Pedersen | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.