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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.35+6.51vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.85+3.93vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University-0.86+11.37vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+0.21vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71+1.36vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+1.51vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.66vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26-3.32vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-2.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.51+0.83vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.06-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.00-2.99vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-0.23vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.15-2.14vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.53-7.83vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.03-7.20vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.03-4.77vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-0.78-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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14.37Old Dominion University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.21Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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6.36Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.51Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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7.66Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.68Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.57Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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8.66Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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12.77Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.86William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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7.17Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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8.8Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.23SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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14.39Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKay Hanna | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Pedersen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.