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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.03+7.65vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo1.00+6.81vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.53+4.05vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71+2.50vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65+1.45vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.45-1.65vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.52vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.35-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland1.85-2.85vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.06-1.38vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26-6.09vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.03+0.13vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-0.19vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.15-2.03vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.51-4.45vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech1.35-8.43vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.78-2.58vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University-0.86-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Queen's University1.030.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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7.05Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.5Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.45Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.35Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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7.52Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.57Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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8.62Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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4.91Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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12.13SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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12.81Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.97William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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7.57Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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14.42Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.54Old Dominion University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifton Kartner | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Dane Pedersen | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.