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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.45+3.05vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.03+6.75vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+3.60vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+0.80vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71+1.31vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+1.85vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.53+0.02vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.06+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.00+0.10vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.16+2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland1.85-4.88vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.15-0.18vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech1.35-5.15vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-6.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.51-4.26vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.03-3.90vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.78-2.59vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University-0.86-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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8.75Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.6Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.8Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.31Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.85Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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7.02Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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8.51Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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12.72Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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11.82William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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7.85Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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7.55Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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14.41Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.54Old Dominion University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Siegel | 20.0% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Dane Pedersen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.