← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland1.85+4.74vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.49+10.85vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.45+1.20vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University1.65+2.59vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University2.26-0.30vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy0.51+4.22vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University1.06+1.43vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University1.53-1.20vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University1.03-0.57vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14-4.94vs Predicted
-
11Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.90vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University-0.16+0.10vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.71-6.76vs Predicted
-
14Virginia Tech-0.49-1.15vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary0.15-3.81vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-0.78-2.31vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook0.03-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.74University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
-
12.85Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
-
4.2Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
-
6.59Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.7Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
-
10.22U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.43Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
-
6.8Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
-
8.43Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
-
5.06Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
8.1Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
12.1Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
6.24Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
12.85Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
-
11.19William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
-
13.69Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.66SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Greenfield | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 18.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.