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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+3.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.06+6.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+3.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+0.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.80+4.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.26+1.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+2.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+5.36vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.85-0.08vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.61+2.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.82-4.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.04vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.97+1.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.36-5.51vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.91-0.75vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.73-12.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Harvard University1.8514.2%1st Place
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8.07Boston University1.065.7%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University1.6110.4%1st Place
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4.78Brown University2.1415.2%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University0.804.2%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida1.266.7%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.885.3%1st Place
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13.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.9%1st Place
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8.92University of Michigan0.854.5%1st Place
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8.67Jacksonville University0.944.7%1st Place
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13.7University of New Hampshire-0.611.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.4%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island0.824.5%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.8%1st Place
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16.5Middlebury College-1.970.4%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont0.363.1%1st Place
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16.25Bates College-1.910.3%1st Place
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5.69Boston College1.7310.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 4.8% |
| Ben Visco | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Darby Smith | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 6.2% |
| Ella Demand | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 28.5% | 45.2% |
| Marco Welch | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 28.4% | 42.3% |
| Alex Lech | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.