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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+8.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+6.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+6.52vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+7.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.92vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-0.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.43vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.92-5.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36+0.40vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-0.08vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.89-4.39vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.58-3.85vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.59-0.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-3.38vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.93-8.30vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.56-7.66vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.06-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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11.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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5.55Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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12.92Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.61Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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11.15Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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9.7College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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11.34Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.68Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| John Stokes | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| John Giuliano | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 28.9% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.