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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+4.18vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+2.35vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71+3.70vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.53+3.37vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.03+7.22vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.49+7.93vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland1.85-0.73vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26-3.13vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.06+0.11vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.03-1.11vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.16+1.92vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.27vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78+1.45vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo1.00-4.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy0.51-4.14vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.65-9.11vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.49-3.07vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.15-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.35Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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6.7Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.37Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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12.22SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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13.93Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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4.87Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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9.11Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.89Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.92Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.73Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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14.45Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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6.89Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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13.93Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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12.07William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 17.3% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 17.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 36.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.